A&E: 12-hour waits surge over summer; winter risk mounts
11 Dec 2025 |
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Emergency department performance data for August 2025 show a sharp rise in 12-hour trolley waits, signalling renewed pressure on urgent and emergency care well before the seasonal peak. Nationally, more than 157,000 patients waited over 12 hours from decision to admit to admission—up nearly 30 per cent on the same period last year.
The uptick comes despite moderate attendance levels and reflects ongoing strain in patient flow, delayed discharges, and bed occupancy running above 92 per cent. NHSE’s monthly situation reports attribute the increase to constrained downstream capacity, workforce gaps in acute medical units, and high demand for community step-down beds. The Royal College of Emergency Medicine has warned that the sustained level of long waits continues to pose a direct patient-safety risk and will likely worsen as respiratory illness peaks later in the year.
Analysis
“We are entering winter with a baseline of crowding we used to see only in January,” said Dr Adrian Boyle, RCEM president. “Without faster discharge and staffing relief, corridor care becomes the default rather than the exception.”
Implications for operations
For system leaders and acute-site managers, the figures highlight persistent structural challenges:
- Flow interdependence: high bed occupancy and delayed discharge undermine emergency throughput and elective recovery alike.
- Workforce exposure: medical, nursing, and allied staff report fatigue and rota fragility after successive winters under strain.
- System coordination: effective escalation and same-day emergency care pathways remain the most reliable mitigations, but require predictable staffing and 24/7 cover.
- Data transparency: real-time capacity tracking and visibility of step-down placements are increasingly viewed as safety-critical functions.
ProMedical View
“Sustained 12-hour waits underscore that flow, not demand, is the dominant constraint in emergency care. While additional staffing provides immediate relief, true resilience comes from integrated deployment across admission, assessment, and discharge points. Flexible workforce capacity—when aligned with live-flow data—can stabilise peaks, protect elective beds, and safeguard patient safety. The priority for winter should therefore be joined-up resourcing rather than isolated surges: right skills, right place, right time.”
As colder months approach, the summer rise in long A&E waits offers an early warning: without coordinated discharge and workforce planning, winter escalation risks becoming the system’s steady state rather than its exception.
References
- NHS England: “Urgent and Emergency Care Performance Data – August 2025.”
- Royal College of Emergency Medicine: “Crowding and 12-hour waits: Safety Impact Review” (September 2025).
- HSJ: “12-hour waits surge as emergency pressures persist ahead of winter.”
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